Since we had in 2008 the third best annual return (41%) in the last 35 years and since each time high returns were followed by negative returns I would be — regardless of the economic outlook — very reluctant to invest in long term government and also in corporate bonds. In fact, on a further deterioration in economic activity and amidst severe deflationary pressures (as postulated by the deflationists) I would be even more negative about US government bonds than under an economic recovery scenario. Why? Because further economic weakness (inevitable in my opinion) will lead to further fiscal stimulus packages and necessitate further money printing.
in FT Alphaville
Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world. Dr. Doom also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold and Oil.
